P A T H  T O  D I S A S T E R

“If… Japan could be lead to commit an overt act of war, so much the better.” - Navy IQ Analyst A. H. McCollum

            After witnessing the horrors of World War I, many Americans wished to protect their children from such an experience, beginning a long period in which a largely isolationist sentiment endured. However, the rise of Hitler and his path of conquest spurred Franklin Delano Roosevelt into seeking ways to arouse his people to supporting a war. When siding with Britain failed to provoke a declaration of war from Hitler, it was only natural that he turn to Hitler’s Japanese allies. This coupled with human error and communication blunders lead remorselessly not only to our entrance into World War II, but the destruction of a large part of our Pacific fleet and the loss of 2403 American lives, the greatest tragedy of that fateful morning.

            However, this horrendous loss of life did not occur without forewarning. Decoded messages and more subtle indications pointed to an attack. Why would the Japanese government request a map of Pearl Harbor with the exact locations of the ships, if not to attack it? Why would there be a sudden spike in communications between Japanese embassies and the government if not in preparation for some major act? Whether or not Roosevelt willingly chose to ignore warnings such as these and even a few more direct ones from outside sources is irrelevant. Simply the fact that they were ignored may have lead to the attack. However, there is significant evidence that they were purposely ignored. In communications that consisted largely of memorandums between various top-ranking officials (including the President), it was blatantly suggested multiple times that “Japan commit the first overt act of war.”

            What is perhaps one of the most significant documents in the controversy surrounding the attack is a lengthy memorandum sent by Japan stating the reasons bilateral negotiations were to be terminated. It was sent largely because many Japanese, including the mastermind of the attack, Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto, believed that it was important to alert the United States that negotiations would no longer proceed. However, due to the length of the document, it had to be sent to the Japanese embassy in 14 separate telegrams. Due to a lack of decoding machines (most had been destroyed on previous instructions) and the poor skill of Japanese typists, it was not delivered to Secretary of State Cordell Hull until an hour after it had instructed. By that time, Japanese bombs had already ripped through the harbor and numerous American lives. However, what is of even greater interest is that top leaders in Washington already knew the contents of the final message. It had been intercepted and decoded at 5:30 AM that morning and received by Roosevelt at 9. He is said to have remarked, “This means war.” It raises the inevitable question – why was nothing done to alert military leaders in the Pacific? Not only Hawaii specifically, but other places where they suspected there might be an attack? Since the Japanese attack would still have been considered treacherous enough to incense the public (there was no formal declaration of war preceding it), what necessitated the loss of so many lives?

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